A China-U.S. Trade War Would See Malaysia, Taiwan, South Korea And Brazil Suffer
Rising Sino-U.S. import tariffs would stir much of the world. Countries that ship parts to China or the United States for export to the other face particular risk. And be extra careful if you trade in soybeans.
Bill Gates believes the rules of supply and demand are changing faster than people and governments are adapting. We live in a world where an increasing number of products are “intangibles,” or products you can’t touch–like software and other digital content.
This kind of product is very different than the physical products our basic economic theory was built around. Intangibles scale differently. Once a developer has paid for the upfront costs of developing a piece of software, for example, they need only make as many copies as the market demands, and the copies cost virtually nothing. For a more traditional, physical type of product like a car–to use Gates’s example–the “copies” cost at least as much as the materials needed to make each one.
Gates outlined this distinction in a recent LinkedIn post–a review of a new book on the subject by economists by Jonathan Haskel and Stian Westlake called Capitalism Without Capital.
“What the book reinforced for me is that lawmakers need to adjust their economic policymaking to reflect these new realities,” Gates writes. “For example, the tools many countries use to measure intangible assets are behind the times, so they’re getting an incomplete picture of the economy.”
He points out that the United States didn’t start including software in its calculation of the gross domestic product until 1999. Haskel and Westlake, meanwhile, show in their book that the number of “intangible” products contributing to the economy began arcing upward around 1994, a trend that has accelerated in the 21st century. “Even today, GDP doesn’t count investment in things like market research, branding, and training–intangible assets that companies are spending huge amounts of money on,” Gates adds.
How to accurately measure economies is just one question. Other traditional beliefs should be rethought, says Gates. For instance:
Should intangible products be patented and trademarked using a different set of rules than physical products?
Should they be taxed differently?
Should competition be defined differently in markets for intangible products?
The concept of “intangibles” is nothing new, of course. What Gates and the authors of the book are suggesting is that governments must move faster to get in a position to regulate economies where “intangible” products are dominant.
Youth Co:Lab is envisioned to connect young innovators with subject matter experts, leaders and businesses in order to develop their ideas and business models for social impact within their communities The Malaysian Global Innovation & Creativity Centre (MaGIC) has announced a partnership with the United Nations Development Programme (UNDP) Malaysia Country Office to launch UNDP Youth Co: […]
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It will invest in startups operating in verticals such as smart cities, security, enterprise productivity, transport and logistics, omni-channel retail enablement, and travel and tourism Tin Men Capital, a Singapore-based VC firm founded by veteran investors, including Murli Ravi (formerly with Temasek and JAFCO), has announced the first close of its first US$100 million fund […]
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